Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.431716 0.497832 0.569705 0.653511 0.748412 0.852408 0.974862
2025-09-21 0.309846 0.397814 0.502875 0.636992 0.802985 1.000971 1.254229
2025-09-28 0.241990 0.336711 0.458017 0.623472 0.841779 1.118300 1.493134
2025-10-05 0.206769 0.307297 0.443556 0.639568 0.911687 1.273048 1.785513
2025-10-12 0.185645 0.292050 0.443471 0.671374 1.001607 1.457780 2.129346
2025-10-19 0.164791 0.273196 0.434499 0.687470 1.068447 1.613614 2.443306
2025-10-26 0.145525 0.253434 0.420836 0.693577 1.119182 1.748169 2.734764
2025-11-02 0.128092 0.233784 0.404350 0.692396 1.157047 1.864598 3.005780
2025-11-09 0.111816 0.213574 0.384169 0.682346 1.178777 1.956439 3.244046
2025-11-16 0.097951 0.195482 0.365083 0.671406 1.196903 2.042367 3.477114
2025-11-23 0.084415 0.176008 0.341173 0.649299 1.193641 2.092529 3.654823
2025-11-30 0.080939 0.174937 0.349546 0.683974 1.288977 2.309184 4.116605
2025-12-07 0.070517 0.159101 0.329567 0.666383 1.292970 2.375814 4.337529
2025-12-14 0.061464 0.144756 0.310771 0.649046 1.295868 2.440829 4.560695
2025-12-21 0.054028 0.132675 0.294855 0.635256 1.303493 2.513725 4.801186
2025-12-28 0.050488 0.128582 0.294452 0.651627 1.368819 2.693373 5.241367
2026-01-04 0.048719 0.128246 0.301725 0.683978 1.467209 2.939175 5.815369
2026-01-11 0.045698 0.124528 0.301338 0.700348 1.535186 3.132570 6.304349
2026-01-18 0.042165 0.119043 0.296429 0.706560 1.582974 3.290487 6.735989
2026-01-25 0.038466 0.112568 0.288518 0.705359 1.615137 3.419879 7.120351
2026-02-01 0.034562 0.104957 0.277085 0.695137 1.627367 3.510692 7.435201
2026-02-08 0.031031 0.097772 0.265792 0.684010 1.636511 3.595474 7.742519
2026-02-15 0.027259 0.089293 0.250314 0.661524 1.618857 3.624542 7.940259